Mitchell Industry Trends Second half 2008 Atlantic Canada
August 14, 2009

Volume One Number Two

Second Half 2008

Published by Mitchell International, Inc.

Prepared for

New Brunswick, Newfoundland and Nova Scotia

Mitchell Regional Trends

Mitchell Regional Trends Report 1

Welcome:

Welcome to the second bi-annual issue of Mitchell’s Regional

Trends Report. This report is designed to help you evaluate your

performance on certain metrics against your local market by

leveraging Mitchell’s large store of Industry data. Knowledge of

the measurements provided in this report can be a key

component in managing your relationship with your DRP

business partners.

In addition to the standard metrics included within every

Regional Trends Report, this issue will provide a state-oriented

look into the topic of hybrids, which were analyzed at the country

level in the 3rd quarter Industry Trends Report. This article will

provide a view of the trends that are affecting this increasingly

expanding market segment.

We hope you enjoy this edition of Regional Trends and that you

will find the hybrid information to be useful in guiding your

business strategy.

Sincerely,

Jason Bertellotti

Vice President, Mitchell Repair Solutions

 

Contents Page

Hybrid Article…..………………. 2

Regional Data……………………. 8

Average Appraisal Values

Comprehensive Losses

Third-Part Auto Property Damage

Collision Losses

Average ACV

Average Vehicle Age

Total Losses

Supplements

Adjustments

Appraisal Make-up

Parts Analysis

Paint & Materials

Labor Analysis

Cycle Times

Mitchell Regional Trends

Mitchell Regional Trends Report 2

Regional Effects on the Average Severity of Hybrid versus Gas Vehicles

By Jamison Day

Senior Director of Information Services

Mitchell International

The fluctuation in gasoline prices in recent years has only hastened the accelerating growth in

the popularity and sales of hybrid vehicles. In the second quarter of this year, Mitchell

International published the results of a study in its Industry Trends Report examining the

difference in estimates and average severities between traditional gasoline-powered vehicles and

their hybrid counterparts. The article looked at different makes and models of hybrids along with

parts, labor and geographic variables to understand the differences in and drivers of severity

between hybrid and gasoline-powered vehicles. This article will review the findings of the

earlier piece as well as provide additional information on more specific regional areas.

Figure 1 shows the dramatic growth in hybrid unit sales being driven primarily by the most

popular, Toyota’s Prius, along with the introduction of hybrid versions of existing vehicle makes

from other manufacturers. Because most hybrid vehicles have a corresponding gas-version sister

vehicle, it is straightforward to do a comparison.

 

Figure 1: Hybrid Vehicle Sales Growth1

Purchases of the Five Most Popular Hybrid Vehicles 2000-2007

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Year

Units Sold

Camry

Highlander

Escape

Civic

Prius

1 Source: www.hybridcars.com

Figure 2 shows that, while the magnitude of the severity differences vary somewhat amongst

makes, the overall finding of hybrid’s having higher severities is clear.

 

Mitchell Regional Trends

Mitchell Regional Trends Report 3

Figure 2: Average Severity – Hybrid vs. Gas Vehicles2

2Note: Because it has no direct hybrid match, the Prius was compared against the Toyota Corolla.

Because these averages were derived from nationally tabulated numbers, we wished to

explore how the results may have been affected by significant regional variations.

A natural first step for the analysis is to look at the percentage of hybrids claims that are

observed in each province as is shown in Figure 3. As expected the hybrid vehicle penetration

varies by province.

 

Figure 3: Percentage of Hybrid Claims by Province

Make/Model Year Range

Percent

Hybrids

Avg. Severity

Hybrid

Avg. Severity

Gas Only

Percent

Difference

All Vehicles 2001-08 3.3% $3,283 $2,761 18.9%

Ford Escape 2005-08 2.2% $3,696 $3,082 19.9%

Honda Accord 2005-07 1.2% $3,918 $2,955 32.6%

Honda Civic 2003-08 1.3% $3,155 $2,795 12.9%

Lexus RX Series* 2006-08 19.5% $4,366 $3,803 14.8%

Toyota Camry 2007-08 15.6% $3,218 $3,116 3.3%

Toyota Highlander 2006-08 4.7% $2,994 $2,872 4.2%

Toyota Prius** 2001-08 3.8% $3,090 $2,521 22.6%

Mitchell Regional Trends

Mitchell Regional Trends Report 4

One potential explanation for the differing severities is that hybrid vehicles might be more

populous in geographies where the cost of living is more expensive and consequently where

parts and labor costs are higher. Thus, we hypothesized that the national difference might be

driven by these high-cost provinces. To test this, we next conducted a comparison of hybrid

versus gasoline vehicle severities within each province. Figure 4 shows the results for all

included provinces and clearly disproves this explanation; this shows that hybrid severities are

consistently higher than gasoline severities across different geographies with the exception of

Prince Edward Islands.

 

Figure 4: Percent Average Severity Difference – Hybrid vs. Gas Vehicles by Province

Province specific numbers on hybrid comparisons are available in the last page/table of this

article in Appendix A.

In order to understand the underlying drivers of this severity difference, we next looked at the

variances in part metrics in order to gauge the possible effects on the mix of OEM versus APU

parts. Figure 5 shows the breakdown of parts dollars for hybrid versus gasoline vehicles and

illustrates the dramatic and revealing results. Because hybrid vehicles are newer and have special

characteristics, one would expect to see higher OEM parts usage and the data proved this true.

Another factor that may account for the increased OEM usage is that many hybrid vehicles are

serviced at dealer repair centers, which would again result in increased OEM usage. Since OEM

 

Mitchell Regional Trends

Mitchell Regional Trends Report 5

parts are generally more expensive, this could explain the higher parts dollar costs seen for

hybrid vehicles.

Figure 5: Part Type Mix - Hybrid vs. Gas Vehicles

Province specific OEM and APU percentages are provided in the Appendix A table.

The final course of analysis involved looking at labor costs by labor type. Figure 6 shows that

labor rates and labor hours were consistently higher for hybrid than for gasoline vehicles.

 

 

Figure 6: Average Labor Costs - Hybrid vs. Gas Vehicles by Labor Type

This result might be explained as repairers undergo additional training to work with hybrid

vehicles and pass along costs in the form of higher labor rates. Also, many times hybrids are

serviced at the dealer’s repair facilities, which is likely due to their relatively high number of

certified hybrid technicians. Many hybrid owners avoid independent repair shops as they feel

that such shops lack the qualifications to work on their vehicles. In the case of repairers that lack

additional training, it appears that working with potentially unfamiliar hybrid vehicles may be

causing increased labor times compared with the times seen on similar repairs for a gasoline

vehicle. The innovations in electrical design on top of differing parts causes a situation where it

is more difficult for repairers to choose between labor types such as body versus mechanical.

Gas Only

OEM

75.5%

Aftermarket

11.0%

LKQ

8.6%

Reman

3.9%

Hybrid

OEM

91.3%

Aftermarket

4.2%

LKQ

1.2%

Reman

2.8%

Labor Type Hybrid Gas Only Hybrid Gas Only

Body $62.69 $60.46 11.14 11.49

Structural $102.36 $93.31 0.01 0.03

Frame $63.31 $61.74 0.97 0.97

Glass $62.57 $62.43 0.24 0.15

Mechanical $91.56 $108.77 1.14 0.70

Refinish $60.17 $57.94 8.18 8.24

$/Hr Hrs/Estimate

Mitchell Regional Trends

Mitchell Regional Trends Report 6

This article has shown that hybrid vehicle sales are growing dramatically and are exhibiting

higher repair costs than gasoline vehicles. Such an effect on repair costs appears to be consistent

across the provinces and is evident in both part and labor dollars. The higher part dollars appear

to be driven mainly by lower Alternate Parts Usage in hybrid vehicle repairs while the labor

dollar differences are driven by both higher labor rates and hours that result from the relatively

new technology seen in hybrids. A full listing of this information by province for hybrid versus

gasoline-powered vehicles can be found in Appendix A.

EDITOR’S NOTE:

Although the conclusions are clear and compelling, and there is evidence of almost universally

higher hybrid severity amongst the provinces in Canada; it should be noted that these are not

necessarily indicative of future results. Such outcomes may potentially change over time with a

convergence of hybrid and gasoline vehicle repair costs. As hybrid vehicle popularity continues

to increase, we might expect alternate parts availability to increase over time, and increased

certification and experience by repairers may lead to increased competition for the repair of

hybrid vehicles. These factors, along with technology advances such as those with replacement

batteries, may lead to average parts costs decreasing over time. Similarly, as repairers continue to

become familiar with hybrid vehicles, labor costs may decrease over time.

Mitchell Regional Trends

Mitchell Regional Trends Report 7

Appendix A:

Province Gas Only Hybrid $ Difference % Difference

% APU $

(Gas Only)

% APU $

(Hyrbid)

Alberta $3,015 $3,973 $958 31.8% 12.75% 3.14%

New Brunswick $2,555 $2,784 $230 9.0% 22.77% 11.42%

Newfoundland $2,477 $2,123 -$354 -14.3% 22.03% 8.99%

Northwest Territories $2,807 -- -- -- 100.00% --

Nova Scotia $2,823 $3,951 $1,129 40.0% 21.65% 4.07%

Ontario $3,256 $3,852 $596 18.3% 24.39% 3.04%

Prince Edward Islands $2,687 $1,764 -$923 -34.4% 32.52% 1.01%

Quebec $2,310 $1,907 -$403 -17.4% 33.52% 7.98%

Mitchell Regional Trends

Mitchell Regional Trends Report 8

The following information was assembled from regional industry-wide appraisal

data uploaded from participating insurance carriers, body shops, and

independent appraisers, processed by Mitchell International and compiled

through Mitchell’s AIM™ (Advanced Information Management) system.

With the obvious exception of the Total Loss section, all data in this section,

including ACV benchmarks, relate to repairable vehicle appraisals only.

Sections included in the Mitchell Regional Trends Data:

 

 

Average Appraisal Values

Comprehensive Losses

Third-Part Auto Property Damage

Collision Losses

Average ACV

Average Vehicle Age

Total Losses

Supplements

Adjustments

Appraisal Make-up

Parts Analysis

Paint & Materials

Labor Analysis

Cycle Times

Average Appraisal Values, All APD Line Coverage:

The average appraisal value is the gross dollar amount of all final versions of

estimates (including supplements) divided by the number of original estimates.

This metric includes all labor types, additional operations, part types, markups,

discounts, additional costs, and all taxes. Insurance deductible, betterment,

related prior damage and appearance allowance have not been applied.

Average Appraisal Values by

Coverage Type

Comprehensive:

Third-Party Auto Property Damage:

Collision:

$3,063

$2,612

$2,490

$2,758

$2,447

$2,698

$3,017

-2.8% $2,479

-10.5%

-3.9%

-0.8%

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

-12.0%

-10.0%

-8.0%

-6.0%

-4.0%

-2.0%

0.0%

Average(Previous 12 Months) Average(Previous 6 Months) 6 Month Variance

$3,151

$2,569

$2,445

$2,639

$3,333

$2,462 $2,525 $2,464

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

Average(Previous 12 Months) Average(Previous 6 Months)

$2,750

$2,023 $2,055

$1,896

$2,905

$2,004 $1,938 $1,873

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

Average(Previous 12 Months) Average(Previous 6 Months)

$3,114

$2,733

$3,012 $3,044 $2,958

$2,568

$3,251

$2,935

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

Average(Previous 12 Months) Average(Previous 6 Months)

Mitchell Regional Trends

Mitchell Regional Trends Report 9

Average ACV:

Average ACV is the total ACV dollar amount divided by the number of all final

versions of estimates (including supplements) that contain the ACV amount.

This is derived using the NADA Base Value, not including options or mileage

adjustments.

Average Vehicle Age:

This metric is the total vehicle age divided by the total number of all final

versions of estimates (including supplements) that contain the vehicle age.

The metric is determined by subtracting the vehicle’s model year from the

current year.

Average Appraisal Values by Vehicle

Type (Previous 6 Months):

Average ACV by Vehicle Type

(Previous 6 Months):

Average Vehicle Age by Vehicle

Type (Previous 6 Months):

$13,062

$11,449

$12,015 $11,721

$12,732

$11,204

$11,634 $11,314

$0

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

$14,000

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

Average(Previous 12 Months) Average(Previous 6 Months)

5.41

5.17

4.35

5.03

5.48

5.25

4.43

5.18

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

Average(Previous 12 Months) Average(Previous 6 Months)

$2,905

$2,443 $2,389

$2,611

$3,324

$2,947

$2,679

$3,074

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

Passenger Vehicles Trucks/SUVs

$11,373

$10,179 $10,330 $10,470

$15,867

$13,983

$15,246

$14,439

$0

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

$14,000

$16,000

$18,000

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

Passenger Vehicles Trucks/SUVs

5.55

5.01

4.25

4.93 4.91

5.16

4.26

4.65

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

Passenger Vehicles Trucks/SUVs

Mitchell Regional Trends

Mitchell Regional Trends Report 10

Percentage of Total Losses and 6-Month Variance:

The number of total loss estimates expressed as a percentage of all

estimates (both repairable and total loss). The variance is acquired by

calculating the difference between the last and first halves of the previous 12

months and expressing the difference as a percentage of the first half.

Average Combined Supplement Variance and Percentage

of Estimates Supplemented:

The average combined supplement variance is the difference in the appraisal

values between the latest and original estimate divided by the number of

estimates with supplements. Percentage of estimates supplemented takes

the number of estimates with one or more supplements and divides by all

estimates using the commit date of the original estimate to acquire the time

period.

Average Deductible Applied:

The sum of deductible dollars divided by the number of

estimates with deductible applied.

Adjustments:

Estimates with adjustment, betterment or appearance

allowances expressed as a percentage of all estimates.

Average Betterment Dollars:

The total of betterment dollars divided by the number of

estimates with betterment applied.

18.7%

7.8%

17.3%

18.4%

6.5%

14.7%

16.5% 17.2%

-2.9%

-27.4%

-23.9%

7.7%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

-30.0%

-25.0%

-20.0%

-15.0%

-10.0%

-5.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

Average(Previous 12 Months) Average(Previous 6 Months) 6 Month Variance

$339

$276

$224

$276

$300

$278

$225

$181

38.6%

33.5%

26.8%

24.6%

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Average (Previous 12 Months) Average (Previous 6 Months) % Estimates Supplemented (Previous 12 Months)

$453

$318 $322

$399

$446

$308 $313

$386

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

$450

$500

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

Average (Previous 12 Months) Average (Previous 6 Months)

3.31% 3.44%

5.13% 4.54%

2.82% 2.18%

4.81%

0.49% 1.26% 3.29%

0.32%

1.24%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

% Adjustments Est % Betterment Est % Appear Allow Est

$168 $172

$154

$179 $182

$197

$161

$143

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

Average (Previous 12 Months) Average (Previous 6 Months)

Mitchell Regional Trends

Mitchell Regional Trends Report 11

Percentage Average Appraisal Dollars by Type

(Previous 6 Months):

All dollars associated with either labor, parts or additional costs are

expressed as a percentage of the gross estimate value on all final versions of

estimates (including supplements). Markups, discounts and taxes are

considered in the calculation of this value. The chart below shows the

breakdown by state over the previous six months.

Percent Average Appraisal Dollars by

Type (Previous 12 Months)

Canada

Percentage Average Appraisal Dollars by Type and Province (Previous 12 Months):

40.8% 43.4% 43.0% 42.0%

49.9% 45.3% 45.2% 46.5%

9.3% 11.3% 11.8% 11.5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

% Avg Part $ % Avg Labor $ % Add'l Costs

% Avg Part $

43%

% Avg Labor $

48%

% Add'l Costs

9%

New Brunswick

% Avg Part $

45%

% Avg Labor $

44%

% Add'l Costs

11%

Newfoundland

% Avg Part $

43%

% Avg Labor $

45%

% Add'l Costs

12%

Nova Scotia

% Avg Part $

43%

% Avg Labor $

46%

% Add'l Costs

11%

Mitchell Regional Trends

Mitchell Regional Trends Report 12

Parts Analysis

Alternate Parts Usage:

This metric is the sum of all alternate part dollars divided by the total amount

of part dollars. Alternate parts consist of Aftermarket, Like Kind and Quality

and Remanufactured parts.

Part Breakdown (Previous 6 Months):

Part usage percentage is charted by state and part type. The actual values

are included in the table below the chart.

APU Breakdown

(Previous 12 Months)

Canada:

New Brunswick:

Newfoundland:

Nova Scotia:

24.66%

27.09%

20.08%

21.58%

24.38% 24.76%

18.64%

23.73%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

Average (Previous 12 Months) Average (Previous 6 Months)

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

$800

$900

$1,000

OEM AM LKQ REMAN

Canada

New Brunswick

Newfoundland

Nova Scotia

OEM AM LKQ REMAN

Canada $904 $131 $122 $38

New Brunswick $783 $154 $100 $4

Newfoundland $863 $115 $81 $2

Nova Scotia $841 $159 $97 $5

Average Part $ by Type OEM AM LKQ REMAN

Canada $904 $131 $122 $38

 

New Brunswick $783 $154 $100 $4

Newfoundland $863 $115 $81 $2

Nova Scotia $841 $159 $97 $5

Average Part $ by Type

OEM

75.3%

AM

11.0%

LKQ

10.4%

REMAN

3.2%

OEM

72.9%

AM

14.9%

LKQ

11.8%

REMAN

0.4%

OEM

79.9%

AM

11.4%

LKQ

8.5%

REMAN

0.2%

OEM

78.4%

AM

12.9%

LKQ

8.3%

REMAN

0.4%

Mitchell Regional Trends

Mitchell Regional Trends Report 13

Paint and Materials

Paint and Materials Rate:

This metric includes the total paint and material costs divided by the number of refinish labor hours on all final

versions of estimates (including supplements).

Average Refinish Hours:

The total number of refinish hours are summed up and divided by the number of estimates including refinish labor.

$30.01

$33.97

$36.60 $35.81

$30.31

$34.16

$36.98 $35.98

1.8%

0.8%

1.0%

1.9%

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

$40

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

Average (Previous 12 Months) Average (Previous 6 Months) 6 Month Variance

8.95

8.16

7.84

8.31

9.02

7.96 7.89

8.36

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

Average (Previous 12 Months) Average (Previous 6 Months)

Mitchell Regional Trends

Mitchell Regional Trends Report 14

Labor Analysis

Repair-to-Replace Percentage:

The repair-to-replace percentage represents the average number of repair

labor hours divided by the sum of the repair and replace labor hours in order

to express repair as a percentage of the two labor types.

Average Labor Dollars:

Breaks down the three labor categories and shows the average amount

spent per estimate on each labor type.

Labor Breakdown

(Previous 6 Months)

Canada:

New Brunswick:

Newfoundland:

Nova Scotia:

60.06%

56.77% 58.39% 57.12%

61.55%

58.64% 57.19% 57.75%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

Average (Previous 12 Months) Average (Previous 6 Months)

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

Refinish Replace Repair

Canada

New Brunswick

Newfoundland

Nova Scotia

Refinish Replace Repair

Canada $505 $325 $632

New Brunswick $422 $257 $408

Newfoundland $455 $273 $386

Nova Scotia $473 $294 $454

Labor Type $ Refinish Replace Repair

Canada $505 $325 $632

New Brunswick $422 $257 $408

Newfoundland $455 $273 $386

Nova Scotia $473 $294 $454

Labor Type $

Refinish

34.6%

Repair

43.2%

Replace

22.2%

Refinish

38.8%

Replace

23.7%

Repair

37.5%

Refinish

40.8%

Repair

34.6%

Replace

24.5%

Refinish

38.7%

Replace

24.1%

Repair

37.2%

Mitchell Regional Trends

Mitchell Regional Trends Report 15

Average Labor Hours:

Breaks down the three labor types and shows the average hours per

estimate on each labor type:

Average Total Cycle Time:

This metric takes the average time from date of loss-to-estimate commit date

and sums it with the average commit-to-last supplement upload date in order

to assess the total cycle time.

Other Cycle Time

Measures

Average Inspection-to-Commit

Cycle Time:

Average Commit-to-Last

Supplement Upload Cycle Tim

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

Refinish Replace Repair

Canada

New Brunswick

Newfoundland

Nova Scotia

Refinish Replace Repair

Canada 8.22 5.17 8.26

New Brunswick 7.27 4.34 6.28

Newfoundland 7.36 4.38 5.81

Nova Scotia 7.82 4.77 6.65

Avg. # Labor Hrs. Refinish Replace Repair

Canada 8.22 5.17 8.26

New Brunswick 7.27 4.34 6.28

Newfoundland 7.36 4.38 5.81

Nova Scotia 7.82 4.77 6.65

Avg. # Labor Hrs.

40.20

32.48

25.36

32.29

39.78

32.43

24.82

31.03

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

Average (Previous 12 Months) Average (Previous 6 Months)

7.42

5.00

3.63

5.35

8.05

5.20

3.40

5.35

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

Average (Previous 12 Months) Average (Previous 6 Months)

13.60 13.69

10.15

14.66

11.72 12.19

8.82

14.15

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Canada New Brunswick Newfoundland Nova Scotia

Average (Previous 12 Months) Average (Previous 6 Months)

Mitchell Regional Trends

©2008 Mitchell International, Inc. All rights reserved.

The latest in a line of custom data

reports, the Regional Trends Report

provides a look at local averages and

trends for important claims and severity

metrics. This publication is released

twice a year and provides data similar to

that included in the Mitchell Industry

Trends Report, but with a focus on your

region.

Questions or comments about the

Regional Trends Report may be directed

to:

 

Jason Bertellotti

Vice President, Mitchell Repair Solutions

jason.bertellotti@mitchell.com

or

Jeremy Ferrell

Editor

Sr. Business Analyst

jeremy.ferrell@mitchell.com



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